Disclaimer: I didn’t run a spell check and many names have been altered accidentally. I have been to zero, 0, practices this year. I don’t know any of the players personally. All of my info comes from the spinsters, my gut, the television and all the games I have been to (although I can’t remember many of them) or been kicked out of. I have never “posted” on Educk and this is all just my opinion, or as those pink-panty-wearing message boards geeks say, IMHO.
What to expect this season:
Defense
The defense will be very good. Secondary is finally to that senior year of all those freshmen/sophomore getting burnt consistently and “quick-six Binns” transferred, thankfully. The younger guys (Bates, etc) are apt backups for possibly two lockdown corners in Gipson and Phinisee. J.D. Nelson is a semi-proven safety and the guy to look-out for is 17 year-old Patrick Chung. He can cover the field in a hurry and lay the wood when he gets there. A pretty good pipeline of young players, including a possible name to remember in the physique of Jarius Byrd in the backfield, and with guys like The Criminal, Rodney Woods, to offer support.
The defensive line will be without a doubt one of the best in the country. Ngata is the real deal and could be a top 5 or 10 pick next year if he stays healthy, although he will be at least double-teamed every single play. This should create plenty of opportunity for Devon Long to have many multiple sack games and shitloads of tackles. Look for Toeaina to be the main compliment to this 1-2 punch. He is big and fast and could have a HUGE year. Other names will be in there, all with a lot of vowels. Don’t be surprised if be the end of the season you are a little more familiar with the name of senior Darius Sanders.
Oh remember the days of Asher, Ruhl, Sirmon, Mitchell, Moretti, even Matson, etc. Not this year. Linebackers would be considered the weak position. The only player with real game experience, Anthony Trucks will play either the Sam or Will position, that’s strong or weak side, depending on who is around him. Most likely the other side will be AJ Tuitele. In the middle (Mike) right now Brent Haberly is the man, for now. A walk-on who is five foot nothing (maybe six foot, but don’t be fooled by program height and weight), one hundred and nothing (maybe two) and his name should be Rudy. He understands the defense, is a leader, and is all heart, no real visible talent. I love heart, but also have to expect that by USC he will be Passin the Mike. Maybe former running back Vincent, maybe Mulvanny, maybe someone else. With a great upfront line and talented secondary it is critical that these guys play within their position and make tackles. They don’t have to do anything spectacular, just make the tackle on the sweep, option and counter.
The biggest problem with our D this year won’t be talent. It looks to be as good of group as we have had in a number of years. Allioti is an ineffective defensive coach plain and simple. What he has going for him is a pipeline into the best high school football program the last couple of decades ala. Colvin, Bates, D Williams, and the late Terrence Kelley among other De La Salle grads. The only time there has been any success with his defenses is when we can put the corners are on an island. That may be an actual option at times this year with Gipson and Phinisee. Hopefully we will see some serious pressure on the quarterback by blitzing some linebackers in addition to the strong pass rush. There could be lots of sacks this year. The alternative is that familiar third and kind of long, soft-zone and just getting picked apart, again. Hopefully there will be adjustments at halftime this year. I, for one, kind of doubt it. Even Allioti can’t completely fuck up this D though, the players are just too good.
Special Teams
Last year was a train wreck. A complete abortion. This year could be bad, but not like last year.
The good news – Paul Martinez is no longer seeing punting action. The new punter, Matt Dragich should launch some bombs. We should be considerably better in the punting arena, and it is an understated important part of the game. Field position, Belotti loves it. Not to be forgotten, you will see a new punt formation. This program is really becoming cutting-edge. Forget old-school. Even with the punt formation something new. You will see fewer guys on the line of scrimmage, the ones that are there will really be spaced out, and three big, BIG guys in the back field right in front of the punter. Included in the 3 man “shield” are the likes of Haloti Ngata. This formation may be the best thing to hit the field since The Original Whizzinator, but that doesn’t matter. Ngata should see nada time on special teams. None. Are you kidding me? It wasn’t that long ago and it isn’t worth it. I digress, the punting should be much improved.
The bad news – Paul Martinez is now our place kicker. I don’t know this kid and he may be the greatest guy in the world, but it seems from Portland that he has a great leg and his head is all fucked up. He has absolutely no consistency. Last year as a punter we saw what happened on Saturday after a great week of practice. Thirteen yard punts, etc. Don’t be fooled, this could be a complete disaster. The good part is that if he can hit a big kick early, he may get some confidence and the unraveling may be delayed, but it’s a coming.
The return teams will have fire power. Justin Phinisee is the incumbent on the punt return. Anything happens to him and we will immediately see the much-heralded JStew. Belotti is loyal to his players and coaches, sometimes to a fault, and there is no way he will take the punt return duties away from Phinisee after a pretty decent job last year. But make no mistake about it, Jonathan Stewart is the best player for that position. We may see him on kick returns though. He has had nagging injuries and really hasn’t had the opportunity to be on the field much leading up to the first game. When he is, there is some real strength and explosion, but he has been kept off the field quite a bit, probably just precautionary. It would be great to see Terrell Jackson lined up deep next to him. A little preview into the future if you will. The special teams will be filled with athletes and lots of action this year. Regardless of who it is, there are some playmakers on this team so a lot is possible. Playmakers…hummm…
Offense
Now this is exciting. A new coordinator and system with him. Gary Crowton comes with a loaded resume including the NFL and head coaching at BYU. The best thing about him is that he is not Ludwig. Ludwig was one of the worst hires in recent (post WWII) history. Right up there with Steubler. Although he only ran a couple variations of basically the same few plays, was ultra conservative, just about everyone in the stands knew what was coming, and made zero adjustments (none), his biggest detriment to the program was his lack of ability to teach and develop players, especially quarterbacks. He was the anti-Tedford. Everything that makes Tedford great, Ludwig lacks. The great thing about Crowton is that he appears to be teaching these players. He is out on the field and very vocal during practice. His spread offense should be extremely entertaining if not confusing for defenses. Very hard to prepare for.
Biggest question mark? That is almost one in the same. The O-line and Clemens. This offense has potential to put up 34 every single game. The receivers are monsters. We are absolutely stacked at this position with playmakers. D. Williams is the biggest name returning and he could have a 1st team Pac-10 year. He creates separation every play. The toe injury nagging at him all last year seems to be cleared up. His routes are sharp, he gets open and catches the ball. The other side will be 5star recruit and sophomore Cameron Colvin. Last year was lackluster. He will perform big this year. In the slot is James Finley. Sir James comes from Compton as a JUCO transfer and appears to be one of, if not the favorite target of Clemens recently. He catches the ball. Flat out he just doesn’t drop it. He will run some option plays also. Jaison Williams is HUGE all around, Garren Strong is tall, Kyle Weatherspoon, and when Brian Paysinger returns hopefully still the second fastest player on the team, we will continue to be loaded at WR and averaging somewhere in the range of 6-2. Having tall receivers is the in-thing these days, but that doesn’t do you any good unless they get open and catch the ball. These guys will do that.
You simply can’t forget Tim Day or Dante Rosario. These guys are mismatches against anyone you put on them. Rosario will start at tight-end and Day will start at the H-back. I don’t know what all that means but it sounds like they will be isolated on linebackers, or DBs, it just doesn’t matter, they are mismatches. Hopefully Rosario can stick a block once in a while though. The offense will often have these two guys on the field as well as three WRs.
Ever since Onterrio and his prosthetic schlong departed we haven’t had game breaking running backs. Whitehead was an absolute warrior and workhorse last year, but the line and total offense dragged his great play down. The year before his ribs weren’t good and he wasn’t really either. He was the only really good thing on our offensive team last year and he will lead us this year… atleast for a while. Behind him is last years’ somewhat highly regarded recruit Terrell Jackson. He should be pretty good at some point. The starter halfway through the season will be Jonathan Stewart. He is a tremendous talent that won’t be able to stay off the field… that is if he stays healthy. Hasn’t played much yet, but it sounds like if these practices were games he would have been. Bellotti is loyal, but at some point it will be obvious whom the starter is even if he doesn’t take the first hand-off.
The O-line is inexperienced, hurt, young, and in a completely new offensive system that requires them to do lots of pass blocking. The good news is that last year’s experienced, big and slow disaster is gone. The only one left is Enoka Lucas and he is not that slow and should be pretty good. After that who knows and really who cares as long as they play good. Ma-Sun is a huge guy. Flannagan is out. Some others in there also. Very important they play well in the beginning, especially the 3rd and 4th game. Clemens needs to build some confidence early. The scrimmages don’t sound like he dominates, but our D should be pretty good. He has got to have reasonably good games against Houston and Montana. No struggles early. Clemens could be a really good QB. The reason he maybe isn’t is Ludwig. The reason he could be is Crowten. He gets some confidence and time from the line, along with some time with Crowten and we could be off and running. Still haven’t seem him throw deep almost at all. That’s not all Ludwig’s fault though. Dennis Dixon will see some time this year. He is the fastest player on the team and has a cannon. He doesn’t always make the best decisions or throws, but they are getting better and he can flat out run almost Vick style. I can’t start talking about next year, but Dixon, Stewart, Colvin, nevermind. Brady Leaf won’t play unless we are blowing people out. Might be a good passer at times down the road.
Coaching
Even if we go 6-5, probably even 5-6, Bellotti isn’t losing his job at the end of next year unless we find he is found fuckin a 12-year-old. Unless you can guarentee a HUGE name, it isn’t worth it most times. He’s in with Moos and Knight and really that is all that matters right now. If you fire a coach, the new coach doesn’t get his recruits in for a few years. That can go either way but regardless we aren’t going 6-5. We’ll win 8 games, hopefully more. USC has been circled for a long time now and it wouldn’t surprise anybody locally, unless we lose to Fresno State first. We won’t because they run and we can stop that conceivably. We will beat Houston by 20, give up the 10 points or whatever it is and put the money down. We will run the same plays we have been running all August.
Pac-10
OSU - they will be terrible
CAL - Will not be that good… early. Extremely soft schedule for a team conveniently losing a ton of players. Lynch is best RB in PAC-10 and maybe other conferences. Probably finish strong. Record will be there though.
STANFORD – Will surprise some people. Battle UCLA for 6th.
USC – How can you say anything bad about them? Sept. 24th.
UCLA – Dorrell is not any good. Too sunny.
AZ – Improved.
ASU – Not as good as everyone thinks. Lot of stuff happened to this team this year.
WSU - Look out. Good WR/Very good LB. Could surprise a lot of people. Will we ever play them at home?
WASHINGTON - I hope more than us being good they are terrible… again. They will play some teams really tough, hopefully not us. They might win one (1) of those tough games.
I am out.
If you don’t know, now you know.